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[MKT] Market/Forex Technical Overview

[MKT] Market/Forex Technical Overview
1/30/2023 11:27:44 AM

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[USD] US Treasury Market Outlook.

[USD] US markets are locking in a slowdown in rate hikes. The market is looking at 25bp at each of the next three weeks, and the market is OK with that. The S&P 500 rose 25bp and the NASDAQ was up 95bp. The year is off to a strong start, with S&P up 6% YTD and NASDAQ 11%. Yields ticked up modestly on the day. Both the 2-year and 10-year yields rose 2bp, to 4.20% and 3.51% respectively. The 2s10s yield curve slope is now 69bp inverted.
1/27/2023 10:43:44 PM

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[INT] The Week Ahead

[INT] Read below for policy, reports and data in the week ahead.
1/27/2023 10:33:34 PM

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[BRL] BoP position worsens, Lula wants EU deal but…

[BRL] The BRL has been strengthening towards the key USD/BRL 5.00 level and while concerns relating to the Lula government's fiscal plans and credibility will continue to weigh, the one positive is Lula's desire to resurrect the Mercosur free trade deal with the EU, which has been on the back burner for a while (the deal estimated to boost Brazil's GDP by around USD 90bn over 15 years, it was signed in June 2019 but has not been ratified by all 27 EU states, not least because of the Bolsonaro government's environmental record and policies). Earlier this week, Lula made it clear that an EU deal should be prioritised over a trade deal with China: "It is urgent and extremely important for Mercosur to reach an agreement with the EU. We will step up our discussions with the EU and sign this agreement so that we can then discuss a deal between China and Mercosur."
1/27/2023 11:42:17 AM

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IDEAglobal clients have been asking if we could make some revisions to the FX service on Thomson Reuters (IDEAFX). In response we have added a number of benefits for you:
  • Streamlined product structure for ease of use.
  • Reordered technical pages to allow users to more quickly review our technical calls on major FX pairs.
  • Daily CNH analysis (IDEAFX70) in light of the surge in FX volume seen in the offshore market over recent quarters.

Download the IDEAFX product guide here.


IDEAglobal products on Bloomberg
IDEAglobal products can now be accessed on Bloomberg in two ways:
  1. NH IDE. This will pull up all of IDEAglobal’s research in a newswire format, from which you can scroll down and click onto the analysis or strategy piece of interest. Additionally, based on your subscription you will also have access to IDEAglobal research within relevant Bloomberg news feeds.
  2. IDGL. This provides a menu for IDEAglobal’s products, arranged by their key sections: FastTrack, Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, and Strategy. This then allows the user to drill down to specific articles on the markets covered by IDEAglobal. (See example here.)

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• FX and FX options - G10 and EM foreign exchange markets
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